Hurricane Dorian

Discussion in 'Weather & Natural Disasters' started by Martin Alonzo, Aug 26, 2019.

  1. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    Hope so, Bess.
     
    #76
    Micki Pembroke and Bess Barber like this.
  2. Craig Wilson

    Craig Wilson Veteran Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    May 7, 2019
    Messages:
    6,545
    Likes Received:
    6,491
    Yes Bess an end to your and family's anguish.
     
    #77
  3. Bess Barber

    Bess Barber Veteran Member
    Task Force Registered

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2019
    Messages:
    3,760
    Likes Received:
    7,604
    It seems they got much more than they were bargaining for:

    comment-dyer-Rescue-boats-navigate-flood-waters-of-Tropical-Storm-Harvey-in-Port-Arthur.jpg
     
    #78
  4. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    Yikes. I hope Martin and his family are OK.
     
    #79
  5. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    The Weather Channel was just showing aerial photos of Bermuda... OMG, the devastation is horrible. The Red Cross says over 60,000 people need food and drinking water.
     
    #80
    Bess Barber likes this.
  6. Bess Barber

    Bess Barber Veteran Member
    Task Force Registered

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2019
    Messages:
    3,760
    Likes Received:
    7,604
    I know. I was thinking about that. I doubt they will have internet available for awhile. Those islands down there took a serious beating. I'm glad it didn't make landfall in Florida, so that the resources needed can all go directly to them. Lord knows they need help. It will take years to rebuild.
     
    #81
  7. Bess Barber

    Bess Barber Veteran Member
    Task Force Registered

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2019
    Messages:
    3,760
    Likes Received:
    7,604
    I think for now @Sheldon Scott is the one who is possibly in the middle of anguish. Many of those islands almost got destroyed over the weekend. It was all so unexpected and happened so fast.
     
    #82
    Micki Pembroke likes this.
  8. Frank Sanoica

    Frank Sanoica Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Feb 21, 2016
    Messages:
    9,297
    Likes Received:
    10,629
    @Beth Gallagher

    "cone of uncertainty"? New one on me. Worst "cone" we ever encountered was when a Dr. (?) of my wife's proposed a Cone Biopsy of her Cervix, based on her Pap test results. She refused. He predicted dire outcome. That was in the early '90s, almost 30 years ago, she's still alive and kickin'. How can I not be negative toward doctors when much of my experience with them has been really bad......
    Frank
     
    #83
    Bess Barber likes this.
  9. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    Well, it's obvious you don't live in a hurricane zone, @Frank Sanoica . If you watch any weather forecast of hurricane landfall, you'll see the graphic with the "cone of uncertainty" every single time. It's the estimated area where they THINK the storm will travel-- the anticipated path of the storm.
     
    #84
  10. Bess Barber

    Bess Barber Veteran Member
    Task Force Registered

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2019
    Messages:
    3,760
    Likes Received:
    7,604
    That is what they call it when they aren't sure what it is going to do. There are lots of factors and this hurricane had its share. I follow it on this live streaming because it's not complicated:
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/trevornace/2019/09/02/hurricane-dorian-live-stream--path/#221935cc7b79

    It is still very big and wobbly, but I think we will really luck out do to the position of the coastline.
     
    #85
    Micki Pembroke and Frank Sanoica like this.
  11. Frank Sanoica

    Frank Sanoica Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Feb 21, 2016
    Messages:
    9,297
    Likes Received:
    10,629
    @Beth Gallagher
    Ah! I suppose a whole lot of things about me are obvious, eh? All professionals seem to have developed certain vocabulary quirks which identify their own particular field of endeavor. Engineering may be one of the more notorious in that respect. Many of these "quirkies" are deeply rooted in the fact that nobody's Crystal Ball really works, so guesswork must be used.
    Frank

    EDIT: I see why "cone" is used; Despite that uncertainty, it appears the project path northward will follow a somewhat parabolic curve. That may be said in certainty.
     
    #86
    Micki Pembroke and Bess Barber like this.
  12. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    Not sure how "vocabulary quirks" got into this discussion, but whatever. The "cone" usually looks something like this...

    upload_2019-9-3_18-39-58.jpeg
     
    #87
  13. Bess Barber

    Bess Barber Veteran Member
    Task Force Registered

    Joined:
    Jun 8, 2019
    Messages:
    3,760
    Likes Received:
    7,604
  14. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    I suppose Cone of Uncertainty sounds better than "here's our best guess but we really don't know."
     
    #89
  15. Beth Gallagher

    Beth Gallagher Supreme Member
    Registered

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2018
    Messages:
    22,075
    Likes Received:
    47,124
    Duh. I just realized I said Bermuda when I should have said the Bahamas. :oops:
     
    #90
    Frank Sanoica likes this.

Share This Page