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National Hurricane Center Predicts Near Or Above Normal Hurricane Season

Discussion in 'Weather & Natural Disasters' started by Gary Ridenour, Aug 31, 2017.

  1. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Veteran Member
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    Here is today's Spaghetti meal, which consists of the combined GFS and Euro Models...
    upload_2017-9-2_9-3-56.png

    The commentary indicates brushing the North Carolina Coast at this time.
     
    #16
  2. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Veteran Member
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    Today's combined Euro and GFS spaghetti dinner...
    upload_2017-9-3_11-28-57.png
    It has shifted a bit, with Florida through the Carolinas getting brushed. It could very likely change as there is some uncertainty about the interaction of the Jet Stream and a Bermuda high. Current forecasts has the jet stream dipping into Southern Georgia by next weekend, dragging along some cooler weather.
     
    #17
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  3. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Supreme Member
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    We might get some rain on the north coast here in the DR we can use it 145723_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
    #18
  4. Harry Havens

    Harry Havens Veteran Member
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    The Euro/GFS combined spaghetti models for 9-7. The GFS portion indicates from Florida panhandle and eastward, while the Euro is still brushing the east coast of Florida up through the Carolinas. Still a wide range of possibilities that will narrow going forward.
    upload_2017-9-4_9-33-10.png
     
    #19
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  5. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Senior Staff
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    Here is another speculation about where hurricane Irma is going to go ashore, and this model is predicting that this hurricane is also going to be a huge one, and could become a Cat 5 by the time it reaches Florida. If it goes the way that this model shows, it looks like it will make first landfall in Miami, and then go all the way up the state before turning inland, and finally winding down near Nashville, which is also where Harvey finally ended up at.

     
    #20
  6. Cody Fousnaugh

    Cody Fousnaugh Supreme Member
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    There is a Cold Front coming down from Canada that will definitely help tell where this thing is going. From what we can tell, nobody in Florida is talking about this hurricane, let alone worried about it.
    Last year, Mathew was 50 miles off of the Jacksonville Beach coast. Impact was felt all along the coastal area down into Daytona. We weren't even in a Evacuation Zone and stayed at home. A number of our neighbors did leave. We got hit with high wind and some rain, but nothing really major. On the other hand, the beach areas REALLY got hit.

    My wife's brother doesn't have to worry about hurricanes anymore. He has moved to Alexandria, Louisiana.
     
    #21
  7. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Supreme Member
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    Latest out of National Hurricane Center it just might go back in the gulf 115000_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
    #22
  8. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Veteran Member
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    she's a Cat 4 now
     
    #23
  9. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Veteran Member
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    Florida Gov. Rick Scott declared a state of emergency for the entire state Monday as Category 4 Hurricane Irma is expected to hit the state later this week.
     
    #24
  10. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Senior Staff
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    The people in Texas were not worried about Harvey until it was pretty much too late for them to get out, @Cody Fousnaugh . Most of the Irma models are showing it as a very strong hurricane, and coming right up through all of Florida. Even if you do not intend to evacuate, I think that it is a good idea to at least have a plan in case you have to do that, and to be able to leave before the storm gets so bad that it is not safe to leave.
    If the governor is declaring a state of emergency for the whole state, then they are definitely expecting a hard storm.

     
    #25
  11. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Supreme Member
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    I should have a front row seat as the eye will pass some 10-20 miles north of my house unless it changes its mind. I live close to the north coast of the Dominican Republic. 204223_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
     
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  12. Yvonne Smith

    Yvonne Smith Senior Staff
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    It sounds like you are going to get that rain that you have been wishing for, @Martin Alonzo ! Better get your umbrella out and get ready.
     
    #27
  13. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Supreme Member
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    We sent part of the day tying down things that can fly and picking every thing in the yard while it is still there. We will probably have a hurricane part at my house as I live high up on a hill and a cement block home. I think some neighbors will probably be staying over.
     
    #28
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  14. Gary Ridenour

    Gary Ridenour Veteran Member
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    no doubt looters on the way
     
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  15. Martin Alonzo

    Martin Alonzo Supreme Member
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    This is the advantage of living in the countryside everyone works together. Here if you lose electricity or other conveyances it is just a normal day. We only have electricity 10 hours a day and we have not had municipal water for 10 months. The only people who will suffer are the people who built their home at the side of the river. They never learn.
     
    #30
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